Just randomly surfing the web, and I ran across a blog dated July 30, 2011, written by a Don Surber, in which he handicaps the 2012 presidential election. Obviously not at all relevant today, but with hindsight I do find his predictions very amusing.
http://blogs.dailymail.com/donsurber/archives/387932012 presidential scoreboard updateJuly 30, 2011 by Don Surber
I’m pre-empting the Daily Scoreboard for another update on the odds for election on November 6, 2012. My last one was on July 2, 2011. The Scoreboard will return tomorrow at 5 PM Eastern.
The odds have two factors: 1. getting the nomination and 2. winning the general election.
Without Obama on the ticket, Democrats improve their odds.[emphasis added]First the Democrats:
9%. Barack Obama. Unchanged from 9% four weeks ago. His petulance and arrogance aside, his repeated cries of “corporate jets” are giving the other candidates a Bachmann-sized migraine, which hurts their chances of toppling The Won. On the other hand, his approval rating dropped to 40% on Friday’s Gallup Poll.
3%. Andrew Cuomo. Unchanged. Bernie Sanders wants someone to challenge Obama in the primaries. This is a sign that Obama may LBJ it and not seek a second term. Enter the Cuomo.
1%. Tim Kaine. New. A Barack crash and burn would bring a call for a centrist. Unfortunately for him, they are few and far between.
Now the Republicans:
25%. Michele Bachmann. Up from 23. Migraine-gate rallied the womenfolk.
18%. Rick Perry. Up from 12. Moving toward a pre-Labor Day rollout.
17%. Mitt Romney. Down from 22. Looks like he’ll soon get a Swift Olympic Veterans backlash over his handling of the Mormon, er, Utah Winter Olympics in ’02.
16%. Sarah Palin. Down from 20. Bachmann and Perry are making her yesterday’s news. The documentary on her tanked at the box office.
5%. Chris Christie. No odds last time. Unless Des Moines is now the capital of New Jersey, he’s developing a hankering for Iowa. Hospitalization brings unwanted attention to his waistline.
2%. Tim Pawlenty. Unchanged. The Republican John Edwards 2004 — without that cheating-on-cancerous wife thing. That’s Newt’s territory, ain’t it.
2%. Herman Cain. Down from 3. The Seattle Mariners had a better month — and they lost 17 straight.
1%. Newt Gingrich. Unchanged. His campaign is a million dollars in debt already? Maybe he should run for president of Greece. Oh wait, the USA ain’t much better.
1%. Ron Paul. Unchanged. Won’t seek his congressional seat this time, the better for Republicans to divide his district to help them elsewhere in Texas.
0%. Jon Huntsman, Rick Santorum, Gary Johnson, Buddy Roemer or Jim McMillan — even if the Rent Is 2 Damn High.
Actually, Jim McMillan makes better sense on some issues than Barack Obama. Jim McMillan also loves Sarah Palin and he hates Mike Bloomberg, so how bad can he be?
